Temperature Increases


To Directly load RCP 4.5/8.5 values into ALL inputs (SLR, Temperature, Ocean Acidification), you can click one of the following:

Air Annual

Historical, predicted increase, and projected annual air temperature by ecoregion. Predicted increases are for 2050-2099 based on the RCP 8.5 scenario. Predictions are based on the CMIP5 climate models downloaded from the NOAA Climate Web Portal.

No. Ecoregion Air Annual Historical Mean Air Annual Predicted Increase Air Annual Projected Temperature
1 Beaufort Sea - continental coast and shelf -12.34 5.42 -6.92
2 Chukchi Sea -11.92 5.89 -6.03
3 Eastern Bering Sea -1.04 3.83 2.79
4 Aleutian Islands 4.62 2.32 6.94
5 Gulf of Alaska 4.8 2.46 7.26
6 North American Pacific Fjordland 7.96 2.11 10.07
7 Puget Trough/Georgia Basin 9.63 2.0 11.63
8 Oregon, Washington, Vancouver Coast and Shelf 11.29 1.89 13.18
9 Northern California 14.84 1.76 16.6
10 Southern California Bight 18.38 1.74 20.12
11 Magdalena Transition 22.36 1.64 24
12 Cortezian 23.72 1.95 25.67
13 Mexican Tropical Pacific 26.18 1.68 27.86

Air Summer

Historical, predicted increase, and projected summer air temperature by ecoregion. Predicted increases are for 2050-2099 based on the RCP 8.5 scenario. Predictions are based on the CMIP5 climate models downloaded from the NOAA Climate Web Portal.

No. Ecoregion Air Summer Historical Mean Air Summer Predicted Increase Air Summer Projected Temperature
1 Chukchi Sea 1.0 2.99 3.99
2 Beaufort Sea - continental coast and shelf 1.17 3.01 4.18
3 Eastern Bering Sea 6.85 2.68 9.53
4 Aleutian Islands 9.37 2.42 11.79
5 Gulf of Alaska 10.39 2.32 12.71
6 North American Pacific Fjordland 12.91 2.12 15.03
7 Puget Trough/Georgia Basin 14.11 2.05 16.16
8 Oregon, Washington, Vancouver Coast and Shelf 15.31 1.98 17.29
9 Northern California 17.81 1.84 19.65
10 Southern California Bight 21.38 1.71 23.09
11 Magdalena Transition 25.43 1.55 26.98
12 Mexican Tropical Pacific 27.65 1.8 29.45
13 Cortezian 28.1 1.92 30.02

Air Winter

Historical, predicted increase, and projected winter air temperature by ecoregion. Predicted increases are for 2050-2099 based on the RCP 8.5 scenario. Predictions are based on the CMIP5 climate models downloaded from the NOAA Climate Web Portal.

No. Ecoregion Air Winter Historical Mean Air Winter Predicted Increase Air Winter Projected Temperature
1 Beaufort Sea - continental coast and shelf -27.03 6.67 -20.36
2 Chukchi Sea -26.31 7.73 -18.58
3 Eastern Bering Sea -9.36 5.64 -3.72
4 Gulf of Alaska 0.25 2.68 2.93
5 Aleutian Islands 0.91 2.3 3.21
6 North American Pacific Fjordland 3.88 2.17 6.05
7 Puget Trough/Georgia Basin 5.95 2.03 7.98
8 Oregon, Washington, Vancouver Coast and Shelf 8.01 1.88 9.89
9 Northern California 12.29 1.72 14.01
10 Southern California Bight 15.82 1.73 17.55
11 Magdalena Transition 19.81 1.64 21.45
12 Cortezian 19.81 1.82 21.63
13 Mexican Tropical Pacific 24.56 1.56 26.12

SST

Historical, predicted increase, and projected SST temperature by ecoregion. Predicted increases are for 2050-2099 based on the RCP 8.5 scenario. Predictions are based on the CMIP5 climate models downloaded from the NOAA Climate Web Portal.

No. Ecoregion SST Historical Mean SST Predicted Increase SST Projected Temperature
1 Beaufort Sea - continental coast and shelf -1.15 1.26 0.11
2 Chukchi Sea -0.78 1.4 0.62
3 Eastern Bering Sea 2.76 2.26 5.02
4 Aleutian Islands 5.79 2.09 7.88
5 Gulf of Alaska 6.78 2.07 8.85
6 North American Pacific Fjordland 9.63 1.89 11.52
7 Puget Trough/Georgia Basin 11.34 1.34 12.68
8 Oregon, Washington, Vancouver Coast and Shelf 12.24 1.77 14.01
9 Northern California 15.74 1.67 17.41
10 Southern California Bight 19.81 1.61 21.42
11 Magdalena Transition 23.94 1.44 25.38
12 Cortezian 25.39 1.52 26.91
13 Mexican Tropical Pacific 27.62 1.57 29.19

Depth 30

Historical, predicted increase, and projected 30m depth temperature by ecoregion. Predicted increases are for 2050-2099 based on the RCP 8.5 scenario. Predictions are based on the CMIP5 climate models downloaded from the NOAA Climate Web Portal.

No. Ecoregion Depth 30 Historical Mean Depth 30 Predicted Increase Depth 30 Projected Temperature
1 Beaufort Sea - continental coast and shelf -1.45 0.69 -0.76
2 Chukchi Sea -1.12 0.77 -0.35
3 Eastern Bering Sea 1.33 2.06 3.39
4 Aleutian Islands 4.2 2.04 6.24
5 Gulf of Alaska 4.99 1.98 6.97
6 North American Pacific Fjordland 7.93 1.78 9.71
7 Oregon, Washington, Vancouver Coast and Shelf 10.54 1.61 12.15
8 Northern California 14.56 1.5 16.06
9 Southern California Bight 18.8 1.5 20.3
10 Magdalena Transition 23.41 1.35 24.76
11 Cortezian 26.15 1.5 27.65
12 Mexican Tropical Pacific 26.88 1.57 28.45
13 Puget Trough/Georgia Basin

Depth 100

Historical, predicted increase, and projected 100m depth temperature by ecoregion. Predicted increases are for 2050-2099 based on the RCP 8.5 scenario. Predictions are based on the CMIP5 climate models downloaded from the NOAA Climate Web Portal.

No. Ecoregion Depth 100 Historical Mean Depth 100 Predicted Increase Depth 100 Projected Temperature
1 Chukchi Sea -1.45 0.36 -1.09
2 Beaufort Sea - continental coast and shelf -1.38 0.47 -0.91
3 Eastern Bering Sea 1.67 1.97 3.64
4 Aleutian Islands 3.05 1.8 4.85
5 Gulf of Alaska 4.35 1.81 6.16
6 North American Pacific Fjordland 6.75 1.49 8.24
7 Oregon, Washington, Vancouver Coast and Shelf 8.65 1.29 9.94
8 Northern California 11.05 1.16 12.21
9 Southern California Bight 14.41 1.11 15.52
10 Mexican Tropical Pacific 16.98 0.86 17.84
11 Magdalena Transition 17.05 0.56 17.61
12 Cortezian 17.16 1.14 18.3
13 Puget Trough/Georgia Basin