Temperature Increases

Predicted increases in SSTs for 2050-2099 based on the RCP 8.5 scenario. Predictions are based on the CMIP5 climate models downloaded from the NOAA Climate Web Portal.

No. Ecoregion Yearly Increase Summer Increase Winter Increase
1 Beaufort Sea - continental coast and shelf 1.26 °C 3.4 °C 0.04 °C
2 Chukchi Sea 1.4 °C 3.1 °C 0.13 °C
3 Eastern Bering Sea 2.26 °C 2.65 °C 1.72 °C
4 Aleutian Islands 2.09 °C 2.5 °C 1.77 °C
5 Gulf of Alaska 2.07 °C 2.3 °C 1.92 °C
6 North American Pacific Fjordland 1.89 °C 2.15 °C 1.71 °C
7 Puget Trough/Georgia Basin 1.34 °C 1.91 °C 1.16 °C
8 Oregon, Washington, Vancouver Coast and Shelf 1.77 °C 1.93 °C 1.63 °C
9 Northern California 1.67 °C 1.81 °C 1.56 °C
10 Southern California Bight 1.61 °C 1.61 °C 1.57 °C
11 Magdalena Transition 1.44 °C 1.48 °C 1.39 °C
12 Cortezian 1.52 °C 1.58 °C 1.45 °C